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The Next Decade of Digital Transformation: Key Trends to Watch
The Next Decade of Digital Transformation: Key Trends to Watch
10/16/2025
Authored by
Bashar Jabban
The New Digital Imperative
Over the last chapters we laid the foundations: alignment and governance (#2–#3), a realistic roadmap and execution discipline (#4–#6), leadership and data value creation (#7–#9), and finally people, trust, and an agile operating model (#10–#13). The next decade will reward organizations that industrialize AI responsibly, modernize their intelligent core, and design for sustainability from day one. My goal in this issue is simple: show you what will actually reshape P&L and risk between 2026 and 2030—and what I recommend you prepare now.
Five Predictions That Matter (2026–2030)
Agentic AI (with guardrails):
Autonomous, tool-using agents lift productivity across operations but create a new risk class: identity sprawl, tool misuse, and prompt injection. Treat agents like interns with least privilege, narrow scopes, expiring credentials, mandatory human-in-the-loop, and incident playbooks.
Machine customers:
Non-human buyers—software agents—begin placing orders, requesting quotes, and negotiating micro-contracts in B2B niches. Treat this as a watch/prepare vector: update pricing rules, APIs, identity and fraud controls.
The intelligent core:
ERP and operations modernize around AI platforms. Data and ML are treated as products with clear ownership, quality SLOs, lifecycle governance, and standardized evaluation.
Compute and sustainability constraints:
Capex, energy, and location (data residency, renewables availability) shape strategy. Green workload placement and cost/energy observability become table stakes in FinOps.
Deep-tech spillovers at the horizon:
Quantum readiness for crypto-agility, robotics at the edge, and provenance tooling for trust will progressively impact regulated sectors. Keep them as horizon items—plan, don’t over-promise.
What Leaders Must Prepare Now
Build an AI powered platform
— Establish governed data, model ops, evaluation pipelines, safety controls, and cost/energy observability. Treat platforms and data products as products.
Define agentic AI guardrails
— Policies, permissioning, audit logs, red-teaming, fallback and kill-switch patterns. Make human-in-the-loop explicit.
Modernize the core
— Modular ERP, event streams, clean APIs, and telemetry-by-design to host AI safely at scale.
Green digital by design
— Measure energy per workload/model, optimize placement (cloud/edge/region), include energy and circularity in procurement and hardware refresh.
Post-quantum path
— Inventory cryptography, classify crown-jewel systems, and plan migration to PQC where it matters.
Upskill at scale
— AI/product/data literacy for all; deepen critical roles such as AI Product Owner, Data Steward, ML Engineer, and AI Safety Lead.
Future Workforce Development—The human edge
AI & Data Literacy (baseline)
: mandatory foundations across all functions; short, role-aware paths.
Role Cards
: AI Product Owner, Data Steward, ML Engineer, AI Safety Lead — with clear accountabilities and KPIs.
Governance in People Ops:
incentives tied to adoption quality, data hygiene, and risk controls (not just output volume).
Skills ↔ Ops Loop:
model evaluations → skill gaps → updated SOPs & training; review every 90 days.
Manager Playbooks:
“when to approve, when to escalate” for agentic workflows; keep humans in-the-loop by design.
Agentic AI Governance—In Practice
Treat agents like interns
: least privilege, narrow scopes, expiring credentials.
Manage non-human identity (NHI):
rotate secrets, contain memory, and track data lineage.
Defend against prompt injection:
sanitize tool outputs; apply allow-lists/deny-lists; validate actions.
Runtime monitoring:
record tool calls; anomaly detection on actions and costs.
Human-in-the-loop and escalation:
define when a human must approve; provide an emergency stop (kill-switch).
Incident playbooks:
prepare for data leakage, model misuse, and third-party tool compromise.
Auditability:
durable logs, reproducible prompts, and evaluation traces for compliance.
Emerging Tech Radar
Technology
What for Leaders
Leader Move
AI/ML Platforms
Productize data and models; standardize evaluations and drift monitoring.
Build platform teams and define product SLAs.
Edge/IoT
Real-time operations with local autonomy; design for zero-trust networking.
Start with a single high-value line or site.
Blockchain/Provenance
Traceability for supply chain and ESG; selective, not universal.
Pilot provenance where audit pressure is high.
Spatial/XR
Training, remote assistance, and complex assembly.
Target safety-critical or high-complexity tasks.
Robotics/Automation
Human-plus workflows first; maintenance and safety by design.
Co-design SOPs and metrics with operators.
Quantum (Watch)
Plan crypto-agility; avoid hard dependencies on vulnerable primitives.
Maintain an inventory and migration playbook.
Micro-Scenarios: 2026 / 2028 / 2030
2026
: Agent-policy kits become standard in mid-market. First machine-customer pilots in B2B niches. Energy KPIs wired into FinOps dashboards.
2028:
10–20% of routine decisions pre-approved for agent execution in select functions. Provenance supports ESG reporting in regulated chains.
2030:
Post-quantum migrations begin for crown-jewel systems in regulated sectors. The intelligent core: (AI-ready ERP + evented ops) becomes the norm.
Leader Signals
Heineken:
Strategy to Execution: Anchored EverGreen strategy with data-and-AI as an enterprise capability; investing in digitally connected brewing and sustainability to future‑proof operations.
Volvo Cars:
Software‑Defined, AI‑First: Building a software‑defined vehicle stack with AI supercomputing and virtual‑world testing to accelerate safety innovation and OTA updates.
Schneider Electric:
Green IT & AI‑Ready Capacity: Operationalizing EcoStruxure/DCIM and AI‑optimized designs (including advanced cooling) to balance AI growth with energy efficiency and resilience.
Key Takeaways
Alignment-first remains the winning order: Alignment → Platform → People → Guardrails → Scale.
Autonomy without governance increases risk; autonomy with guardrails increases velocity and resilience.
Green digital is not a side quest—it is the constraint set for the next wave of scale.
Conclusion
I continue to put digital alignment first. Organizations that pair alignment with a resilient AI platform, modernized core systems, strong governance for agentic capabilities, and green-by-design choices will convert technology into measurable P&L impact, risk reduction, and long-term resilience.
Resources & Further Reading
Gartner — Top Strategic Technology Trends 2025
McKinsey — Tech Trends 2025 / Building AI-enabled organizations
Deloitte — Tech Trends 2025
Accenture — Technology Vision 2025
Pubblicazioni/Eventi Directory:
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