The Next Decade of Digital Transformation: Key Trends to Watch

10/16/2025

The Next Decade of Digital Transformation: Key Trends to Watch

Authored by Bashar Jabban

The New Digital Imperative 

Over the last chapters we laid the foundations: alignment and governance (#2–#3), a realistic roadmap and execution discipline (#4–#6), leadership and data value creation (#7–#9), and finally people, trust, and an agile operating model (#10–#13). The next decade will reward organizations that industrialize AI responsibly, modernize their intelligent core, and design for sustainability from day one.  My goal in this issue is simple: show you what will actually reshape P&L and risk between 2026 and 2030—and what I recommend you prepare now. 


Five Predictions That Matter (2026–2030) 

  • Agentic AI (with guardrails): Autonomous, tool-using agents lift productivity across operations but create a new risk class: identity sprawl, tool misuse, and prompt injection. Treat agents like interns with least privilege, narrow scopes, expiring credentials, mandatory human-in-the-loop, and incident playbooks. 
  • Machine customers: Non-human buyers—software agents—begin placing orders, requesting quotes, and negotiating micro-contracts in B2B niches. Treat this as a watch/prepare vector: update pricing rules, APIs, identity and fraud controls. 
  • The intelligent core: ERP and operations modernize around AI platforms. Data and ML are treated as products with clear ownership, quality SLOs, lifecycle governance, and standardized evaluation. 
  • Compute and sustainability constraints: Capex, energy, and location (data residency, renewables availability) shape strategy. Green workload placement and cost/energy observability become table stakes in FinOps. 
  • Deep-tech spillovers at the horizon: Quantum readiness for crypto-agility, robotics at the edge, and provenance tooling for trust will progressively impact regulated sectors. Keep them as horizon items—plan, don’t over-promise. 


What Leaders Must Prepare Now 

  • Build an AI powered platform — Establish governed data, model ops, evaluation pipelines, safety controls, and cost/energy observability. Treat platforms and data products as products. 
  • Define agentic AI guardrails — Policies, permissioning, audit logs, red-teaming, fallback and kill-switch patterns. Make human-in-the-loop explicit. 
  • Modernize the core — Modular ERP, event streams, clean APIs, and telemetry-by-design to host AI safely at scale. 
  • Green digital by design — Measure energy per workload/model, optimize placement (cloud/edge/region), include energy and circularity in procurement and hardware refresh. 
  • Post-quantum path — Inventory cryptography, classify crown-jewel systems, and plan migration to PQC where it matters. 
  • Upskill at scale — AI/product/data literacy for all; deepen critical roles such as AI Product Owner, Data Steward, ML Engineer, and AI Safety Lead. 


Future Workforce Development—The human edge 

  • AI & Data Literacy (baseline): mandatory foundations across all functions; short, role-aware paths. 
  • Role Cards: AI Product Owner, Data Steward, ML Engineer, AI Safety Lead — with clear accountabilities and KPIs. 
  • Governance in People Ops: incentives tied to adoption quality, data hygiene, and risk controls (not just output volume). 
  • Skills ↔ Ops Loop: model evaluations → skill gaps → updated SOPs & training; review every 90 days. 
  • Manager Playbooks: “when to approve, when to escalate” for agentic workflows; keep humans in-the-loop by design. 


Agentic AI Governance—In Practice 

  • Treat agents like interns: least privilege, narrow scopes, expiring credentials. 
  • Manage non-human identity (NHI): rotate secrets, contain memory, and track data lineage. 
  • Defend against prompt injection: sanitize tool outputs; apply allow-lists/deny-lists; validate actions. 
  • Runtime monitoring: record tool calls; anomaly detection on actions and costs. 
  • Human-in-the-loop and escalation: define when a human must approve; provide an emergency stop (kill-switch). 
  • Incident playbooks: prepare for data leakage, model misuse, and third-party tool compromise. 
  • Auditability: durable logs, reproducible prompts, and evaluation traces for compliance. 


Emerging Tech Radar  


Technology

What for Leaders

Leader Move
AI/ML Platforms Productize data and models; standardize evaluations and drift monitoring. Build platform teams and define product SLAs.
Edge/IoT Real-time operations with local autonomy; design for zero-trust networking. Start with a single high-value line or site.
Blockchain/Provenance Traceability for supply chain and ESG; selective, not universal. Pilot provenance where audit pressure is high.
Spatial/XR Training, remote assistance, and complex assembly. Target safety-critical or high-complexity tasks.
Robotics/Automation Human-plus workflows first; maintenance and safety by design. Co-design SOPs and metrics with operators.
Quantum (Watch) Plan crypto-agility; avoid hard dependencies on vulnerable primitives. Maintain an inventory and migration playbook.


Micro-Scenarios: 2026 / 2028 / 2030

2026: Agent-policy kits become standard in mid-market. First machine-customer pilots in B2B niches. Energy KPIs wired into FinOps dashboards.

2028: 10–20% of routine decisions pre-approved for agent execution in select functions. Provenance supports ESG reporting in regulated chains.

2030: Post-quantum migrations begin for crown-jewel systems in regulated sectors. The intelligent core: (AI-ready ERP + evented ops) becomes the norm.


Leader Signals

  • Heineken: Strategy to Execution: Anchored EverGreen strategy with data-and-AI as an enterprise capability; investing in digitally connected brewing and sustainability to future‑proof operations.
  • Volvo Cars: Software‑Defined, AI‑First: Building a software‑defined vehicle stack with AI supercomputing and virtual‑world testing to accelerate safety innovation and OTA updates.
  • Schneider Electric: Green IT & AI‑Ready Capacity: Operationalizing EcoStruxure/DCIM and AI‑optimized designs (including advanced cooling) to balance AI growth with energy efficiency and resilience.


Key Takeaways

  • Alignment-first remains the winning order: Alignment → Platform → People → Guardrails → Scale.
  • Autonomy without governance increases risk; autonomy with guardrails increases velocity and resilience.
  • Green digital is not a side quest—it is the constraint set for the next wave of scale.


Conclusion

I continue to put digital alignment first. Organizations that pair alignment with a resilient AI platform, modernized core systems, strong governance for agentic capabilities, and green-by-design choices will convert technology into measurable P&L impact, risk reduction, and long-term resilience. 


Resources & Further Reading 

  • Gartner — Top Strategic Technology Trends 2025
  • McKinsey — Tech Trends 2025 / Building AI-enabled organizations
  • Deloitte — Tech Trends 2025
  • Accenture — Technology Vision 2025
 

Pubblicazioni/Eventi Directory:  Digital AdvisoryPublication Bashar Jabban

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